Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.021646 0.023589 0.025540 0.027645 0.029845 0.032076 0.034503
2025-07-27 0.017699 0.020726 0.023887 0.027416 0.031228 0.035205 0.039653
2025-08-03 0.015892 0.019580 0.023535 0.028053 0.033035 0.038325 0.044336
2025-08-10 0.013996 0.018094 0.022598 0.027851 0.033745 0.040100 0.047417
2025-08-17 0.012393 0.016775 0.021706 0.027564 0.034242 0.041536 0.050028
2025-08-24 0.011135 0.015745 0.021045 0.027449 0.034852 0.043030 0.052641
2025-08-31 0.009976 0.014741 0.020336 0.027208 0.035255 0.044239 0.054890
2025-09-07 0.009039 0.013935 0.019803 0.027119 0.035789 0.045557 0.057228
2025-09-14 0.008017 0.012951 0.018995 0.026652 0.035837 0.046285 0.058862
2025-09-21 0.007104 0.012044 0.018230 0.026190 0.035852 0.046940 0.060386
2025-09-28 0.006147 0.011008 0.017249 0.025416 0.035454 0.047083 0.061290
2025-10-05 0.005858 0.010862 0.017386 0.026011 0.036690 0.049131 0.064395
2025-10-12 0.005247 0.010264 0.016957 0.025942 0.037188 0.050393 0.066695
2025-10-19 0.004628 0.009616 0.016445 0.025762 0.037559 0.051524 0.068876
2025-10-26 0.004353 0.009452 0.016563 0.026374 0.038894 0.053798 0.072394
2025-11-02 0.003834 0.008870 0.016078 0.026179 0.039204 0.054826 0.074428
2025-11-09 0.003342 0.008284 0.015552 0.025902 0.039391 0.055689 0.076252
2025-11-16 0.002948 0.007817 0.015168 0.025791 0.039771 0.056774 0.078332
2025-11-23 0.002560 0.007319 0.014710 0.025558 0.039977 0.057633 0.080131
2025-11-30 0.002248 0.006919 0.014373 0.025472 0.040359 0.058699 0.082172
2025-12-07 0.001883 0.006376 0.013790 0.025022 0.040250 0.059143 0.083450
2025-12-14 0.001561 0.005866 0.013227 0.024577 0.040128 0.059558 0.084680
2025-12-21 0.001223 0.005260 0.012474 0.023831 0.039587 0.059429 0.085231